Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Keegan Smith vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a31c444cfb37bc6c1669a1e169476d5a24e05edb0fc6d2ef9a52f58d6c06e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blancaneauxof Smith, Blancaneaux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blancaneaux | 67c | 7,986$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Blancaneaux | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Smith | 36c | 4,338$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.96 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Smith | 32c | 4,195$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.98 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Smith | 35c | 3,930$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Blancaneaux | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.01 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Blancaneaux | 71c | 1,970$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Smith | 37c | 1,222$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Smith | 34c | 955$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.04 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Smith | 51c | 929.41$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Blancaneaux | 63c | 763.12$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.68 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Smith | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Smith | 34c | 649$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Smith | 35c | 493.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Blancaneaux | 61c | 464.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Smith | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Smith | 35c | 401.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Blancaneaux | 70c | 357.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Smith | 31c | 325.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Smith | 51c | 316.64$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Blancaneaux | 41c | 299.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Smith | 36c | 278.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blancaneaux | 66c | 206.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Smith | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Smith | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Smith | 35c | 170.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Smith | 31c | 162.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Smith | 51c | 162$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Smith | 33c | 157.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Smith | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…ea80backed Smith | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blancaneaux | 45c | 149.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Smith | 51c | 144.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Blancaneaux | 59c | 141.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blancaneaux | 70c | 132.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Blancaneaux | 65c | 115.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Blancaneaux | 48c | 104.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Blancaneaux | 65c | 92.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Blancaneaux | 65c | 92.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Smith | 35c | 88.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Smith | 46c | 77.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Smith | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Blancaneaux | 69c | 74.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Blancaneaux | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Blancaneaux | 54c | 63.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Smith | 59c | 60.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Smith | 31c | 55.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Blancaneaux | 68c | 47.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Blancaneaux | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Blancaneaux | 60c | 46.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Blancaneaux | 71c | 44.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Smith | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Smith | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Smith | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked Smith | 36c | 42.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Blancaneaux | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Smith | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…5d1dbacked Smith | 32c | 37.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Smith | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Smith | 60c | 33.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…ef7bbacked Smith | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blancaneaux | 61c | 26.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.