Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Guido Justo vs Gonzalo Bueno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352ba2b8cd639c26683745860f7940559b7ab58ce72798240389ec44d511452b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justoof Justo, Bueno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Justo | 58c | 8,318$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Justo | 42c | 6,023$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bueno | 56c | 3,354$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.92 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Bueno | 55c | 2,649$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.91 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Bueno | 67c | 2,008$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Bueno | 67c | 2,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.7 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bueno | 41c | 1,900$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.79 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bueno | 47c | 1,843$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.93 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bueno | 52c | 1,588$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.03 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Justo | 50c | 1,503$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.61 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bueno | 58c | 1,237$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Bueno | 65c | 1,082$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.62 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bueno | 60c | 1,072$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.66 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bueno | 29c | 763.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Bueno | 42c | 761.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.29 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Justo | 40c | 743.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Justo | 44c | 736.6$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.26 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Justo | 41c | 727.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.42 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Bueno | 70c | 714.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Justo | 42c | 706.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.73 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0593backed Bueno | 60c | 608.81$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Bueno | 54c | 605.06$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.13 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…30d6backed Justo | 41c | 604.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Justo | 25c | 596.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.49 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Justo | 30c | 516.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.67 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bueno | 40c | 424.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Justo | 40c | 400.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.57 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Bueno | 75c | 334.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Bueno | 61c | 330.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Justo | 39c | 307.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Bueno | 50c | 279.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Justo | 41c | 273.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Bueno | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Bueno | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Justo | 40c | 244.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…d123backed Bueno | 75c | 218.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Bueno | 78c | 212.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Justo | 25c | 206.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bueno | 58c | 202.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Bueno | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bueno | 55c | 185.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Justo | 27c | 174.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Bueno | 63c | 159.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Bueno | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Bueno | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Bueno | 74c | 130$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Bueno | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Justo | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Justo | 58c | 115.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bueno | 41c | 113.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Justo | 40c | 112.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bueno | 42c | 100.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Bueno | 60c | 100.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Bueno | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Bueno | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…d536backed Bueno | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Justo | 37c | 97.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Bueno | 73c | 81.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Bueno | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bueno | 69c | 70.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Justo | 40c | 66.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Bueno | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Justo | 40c | 57.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Justo | 50c | 52.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Justo | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Bueno | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Bueno | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Justo | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Justo | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Bueno | 64c | 24.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Bueno | 67c | 22.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Bueno | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Bueno | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Bueno | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 796 | 53%422 W · 374 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Bueno | 68c | 15.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigre: Guido Justo vs Gonzalo Buenothis page
- Justo vs. Bueno: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.