Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8594aee68a365942888faf2df6614059111a0953f22cc9f26ea50ab591df0646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rublev | 7c | 84,076$6,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,121.22 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rublev | 15c | 53,540$8,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,031.04 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Rublev | 4c | 46,231$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.74 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Rublev | 18c | 27,689$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.61 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Rublev | 15c | 20,059$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.77 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Rublev | 14c | 13,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.98 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Rublev | 15c | 10,853$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.92 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Rublev | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rublev | 15c | 8,743$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rublev | 15c | 8,088$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.16 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rublev | 10c | 7,369$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rublev | 12c | 6,900$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.6 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Rublev | 14c | 6,500$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.98 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rublev | 10c | 5,961$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.52 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rublev | 6c | 4,665$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Rublev | 15c | 4,112$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.75 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rublev | 9c | 3,897$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Rublev | 6c | 3,803$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…da95backed Rublev | 12c | 3,225$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Rublev | 13c | 3,210$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.36 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Rublev | 8c | 2,911$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rublev | 9c | 2,791$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Rublev | 15c | 2,720$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Rublev | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Rublev | 7c | 2,474$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rublev | 1c | 2,248$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Rublev | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Rublev | 24c | 1,962$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.77 | 308 | 45.5%140 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rublev | 12c | 1,804$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Alcaraz | 79c | 1,567$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.15 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rublev | 15c | 1,559$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Rublev | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rublev | 16c | 1,301$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Rublev | 15c | 1,239$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Rublev | 1c | 1,225$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Rublev | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…7d11backed Rublev | 9c | 1,120$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Rublev | 15c | 1,053$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Rublev | 12c | 1,043$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Rublev | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rublev | 11c | 937.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rublev | 3c | 906$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rublev | 15c | 901.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Rublev | 2c | 864.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Rublev | 15c | 733.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Rublev | 16c | 730.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Rublev | 22c | 699.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Rublev | 10c | 666.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Rublev | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Rublev | 15c | 659.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Rublev | 13c | 649.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 671 | 31.3%210 W · 461 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rublev | 21c | 642.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rublev | 11c | 639.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Rublev | 20c | 634.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Rublev | 5c | 632.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Rublev | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Rublev | 17c | 586.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Rublev | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rublev | 7c | 499.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Rublev | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Rublev | 13c | 466.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Rublev | 22c | 463.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…2e69backed Rublev | 22c | 455.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Rublev | 20c | 451.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rublev | 14c | 449.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Rublev | 15c | 440.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…1a66backed Alcaraz | 78c | 407.69$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Rublev | 4c | 400.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Rublev | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Rublev | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Rublev | 15c | 388.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Rublev | 16c | 379$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Rublev | 3c | 375$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Rublev | 10c | 362.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Rublev | 5c | 350.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Rublev | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Rublev | 14c | 330.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Rublev | 8c | 309.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Rublev | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rublev | 21c | 291.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rublev | 14c | 283.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Rublev | 22c | 282.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rublev | 12c | 258.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rublev | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…9fcfbacked Rublev | 7c | 240.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Rublev | 6c | 234.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Rublev | 6c | 229.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Rublev | 8c | 223.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Rublev | 15c | 211$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Rublev | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…69adbacked Rublev | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Rublev | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Rublev | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Rublev | 21c | 192.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…916abacked Rublev | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…86bdbacked Rublev | 16c | 182.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Rublev | 9c | 181.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed Rublev | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…0f9bbacked Rublev | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Rublev | 18c | 172.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublevthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Rublev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs RublevAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Rublev (+1.5)Alcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.