Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Laurent Lokoli vs Jakub Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b44bd69df2d005b47454f339675cf0bfdbe1ec45f958fa6a71ce74d167e301e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokoliof Lokoli, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Paul | 2c | 10,795$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.06 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Lokoli | 60c | 2,509$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.85 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Paul | 46c | 2,482$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.06 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paul | 38c | 1,869$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Paul | 48c | 1,763$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lokoli | 59c | 515$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paul | 46c | 507.52$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Lokoli | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Lokoli | 40c | 497.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.89 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lokoli | 54c | 463.89$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Paul | 45c | 407.24$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paul | 5c | 405.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lokoli | 27c | 352.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lokoli | 64c | 336$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Lokoli | 41c | 307.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Lokoli | 33c | 305.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Paul | 66c | 272.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Lokoli | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lokoli | 72c | 228$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Paul | 38c | 190.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Lokoli | 64c | 157.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Lokoli | 66c | 151.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Lokoli | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Paul | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Paul | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Lokoli | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Paul | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lokoli | 60c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…f795backed Paul | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Lokoli | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paul | 22c | 96.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Lokoli | 55c | 91.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Lokoli | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Lokoli | 62c | 74.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Paul | 36c | 68.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paul | 35c | 55.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Lokoli | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Paul | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lokoli | 59c | 47.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Lokoli | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Lokoli | 62c | 44.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Paul | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Lokoli | 68c | 37.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7f16backed Lokoli | 43c | 34.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Paul | 38c | 34.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…8f12backed Paul | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Paul | 64c | 31.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…b344backed Paul | 46c | 30.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…8d93backed Paul | 52c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Lokoli | 66c | 26.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Lokoli | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokoli | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…f85ebacked Lokoli | 66c | 15.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.