TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes80c22,052$17,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,498.43650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c20,340$7,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,062.223,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c11,798$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,809.694,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c11,711$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.191,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes13c6,968$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,062.1679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c6,047$3,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,612.7769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes71c5,167$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.7840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes13c4,233$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,682.841,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c4,050$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c3,798$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.3390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes78c3,756$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.493740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes39c3,141$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes38c2,636$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.0733734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes13c2,560$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.96640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes13c2,307$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.098334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No54c2,298$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.769134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No48c2,081$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.995927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0302751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No52c1,999$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.715044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes24c1,927$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.4760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No56c1,676$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.9729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Yes47c1,584$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+136.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed No61c1,476$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes68c1,467$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.142536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes40c1,333$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.199851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No27c1,325$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0211736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked Yes12c1,290$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.137851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No42c1,097$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.037241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked Yes34c1,069$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9425…f025backed Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No46c1,000$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.58142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes36c900.87$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2512553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes13c825.21$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.789840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c805.1$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.8349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Yes13c794.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked No64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked No64c781.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.63850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes49c770.79$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.692045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes13c769$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.036553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes42c767.7$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed No62c765$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.362213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed No67c736.83$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No64c720.41$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.065547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes63c695.29$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6816446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Yes13c690$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.32020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No78c666.21$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.644238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No30c659.41$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No79c631.91$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.539557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.959530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes13c591.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.832035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5612338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes13c514.31$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.314637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes61c493.44$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.441566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8c…7a41backed No64c486.15$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes15c484.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.868461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes36c411.11$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1120148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes13c388$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.565831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No14c348$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8815036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes59c322.14$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.086144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes34c315.09$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes67c304.7$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0200…21f2backed Yes64c299.17$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes14c285.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.716920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes29c278.71$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.744845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1613844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1611037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes68c260.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.216235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked No53c255.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91f…a82bbacked Yes36c243.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+232.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes13c230$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.11323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+115.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Yes14c214.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed No33c209.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.336460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No59c201.31$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.943946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes11c200.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.361637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+262.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17210233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+73.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes17c200$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed No40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2e5abacked No42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked No54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No50c199.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes55c199$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5517537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No65c198.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes52c191.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.131546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes14c190.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.616740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes14c180.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.483627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes72c180.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.564641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed No46c178.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.555761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No66c173$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5913249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes73c163.48$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.146344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No59c157$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.182650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.