TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Mensik, Sinner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$832,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$928,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Mensik8c51,269$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,090.172245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Mensik33c42,909$13,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,962.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sinner47c36,853$17,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,265.9911242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mensik52c35,255$18,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,760.341,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Mensik9c22,974$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,920.3123731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sinner38c22,282$8,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,507.0511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Sinner49c20,408$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sinner59c11,795$6,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,973.868,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Mensik51c7,952$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.63669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac0…9d95backed Sinner64c7,926$5,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,109.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Mensik8c7,639$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,027.684117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Mensik38c7,620$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.046150.8%31 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mensik52c6,859$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.546,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mensik36c5,901$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.661,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Sinner66c5,789$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Mensik49c5,394$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.2793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Mensik62c5,300$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0145223.1%12 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Mensik8c5,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Mensik50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5003151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mensik51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sinner57c4,557$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.82,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Sinner62c4,397$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Mensik10c4,330$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.498031.3%25 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Mensik33c4,250$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.2198240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Sinner56c4,182$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.9824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mensik28c4,126$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.832,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mensik33c4,096$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.5897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Sinner2c4,012$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.25755.3%4 W · 71 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sinner48c3,414$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.5681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mensik26c3,137$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.623,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Sinner73c3,027$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.4922634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Sinner71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1305354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Sinner66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9809242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Mensik33c3,000$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.58450%42 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Sinner55c2,975$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Sinner52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Sinner39c2,697$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.8316339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…81b9backed Sinner79c2,500$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.91060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Sinner65c2,480$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6125457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Sinner59c2,235$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.2128543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Mensik26c2,163$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.0330645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Mensik2c2,113$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.9912322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Mensik9c2,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82042839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Mensik12c2,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.581,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Sinner71c1,798$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2741,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Mensik24c1,753$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.3913435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Mensik30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.675362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Mensik13c1,642$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.8129533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Mensik19c1,611$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.1147946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Mensik29c1,540$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08829654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Sinner66c1,521$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6920653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Sinner50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Mensik38c1,500$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9268762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Sinner68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Sinner75c1,458$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Mensik28c1,419$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.3213456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x310f…8e5abacked Mensik75c1,403$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mensik17c1,358$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.252,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Sinner66c1,330$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.03666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf224…ea75backed Sinner72c1,329$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9f…3314backed Mensik10c1,324$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.775438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Mensik36c1,307$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.5623847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Mensik17c1,289$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.381,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Sinner76c1,200$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.914047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Mensik64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43247057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Mensik43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7928444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mensik8c1,157$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.3976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Sinner70c1,148$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8094557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Sinner72c1,145$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.9124060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188a…7d93backed Mensik20c1,128$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9041100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+403.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Sinner65c1,085$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.935644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Mensik23c1,050$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81018932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Sinner53c1,020$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.4645457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Sinner50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Mensik50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50028451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Mensik31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Sinner67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9911852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Sinner53c990$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52512861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0db…f902backed Mensik32c952.84$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.361353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20a2…dc15backed Mensik41c873.8$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sinner66c868.4$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.692,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Sinner66c850$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Mensik9c838.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.1935730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…3ba8backed Sinner79c810$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.91457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinner41c798.9$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.244,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Sinner61c755.31$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.794658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Mensik63c750$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcf…327ebacked Sinner68c739.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Mensik75c735.47$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.471668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Sinner51c731.67$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7940144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Mensik41c731.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.4120748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Mensik10c731.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.361,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa8…591bbacked Mensik31c724.3$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.581241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Mensik44c720.78$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.784250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Mensik14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.2962545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Sinner47c647.55$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.587248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sinner58c632.96$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.996,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mensik16c625$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Sinner80c608.13$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48523554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Mensik9c582.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.2215734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.