TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buseof Buse, Berrettini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d1…18dabacked Berrettini70c43,314$30,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,320.0827560%165 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buse38c17,312$6,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,647.812,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buse53c14,776$7,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,970.182,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Berrettini49c10,794$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,254.4194355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Berrettini66c10,109$6,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,706.079950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Berrettini71c7,042$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00035247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Buse34c6,237$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08876546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Buse70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Buse80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00044263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Berrettini45c4,346$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.5281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Buse35c4,287$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.9638133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Buse55c3,433$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.292,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Berrettini65c3,326$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.0276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Buse34c3,244$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.9626545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Buse32c3,115$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.3328439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Buse33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01012147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Buse41c2,975$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.747248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Berrettini68c2,960$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.7930241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Buse60c2,847$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Berrettini30c2,768$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.7265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9206…42a6backed Berrettini49c2,738$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.615858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Berrettini38c2,407$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.818,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Buse35c2,286$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.7141645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Berrettini65c2,184$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.469247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Berrettini67c2,154$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45314568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Berrettini28c2,151$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.284,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Berrettini26c2,059$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.221,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Buse66c2,000$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.788762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Buse39c1,994$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.791,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Berrettini22c1,983$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3316339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ea…f93bbacked Berrettini67c1,964$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Buse52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.086344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Berrettini67c1,766$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1855354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Berrettini48c1,756$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.022,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Buse35c1,720$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.61,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Buse48c1,581$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Berrettini32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Berrettini64c1,558$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020848.1%100 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Berrettini67c1,494$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Berrettini48c1,459$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Berrettini49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Buse35c1,417$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.0224448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Buse54c1,414$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.816665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Berrettini69c1,400$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.995259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Buse34c1,319$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.35446.3%25 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Buse35c1,311$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.431,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Buse56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52826045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Buse45c1,077$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.6397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Berrettini59c1,049$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Buse59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9526158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Berrettini62c1,015$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.354250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Berrettini50c1,004$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Buse33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6706149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Buse34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Buse34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66018447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Berrettini65c994.5$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.051,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Buse41c971.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.751,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8baa…d404backed Berrettini32c955$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.152857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Buse45c933$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.21,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Buse31c887.17$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.762,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Buse47c847.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.655242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Berrettini51c838.33$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42562545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Buse34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52819338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Buse54c769.93$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.187057.1%40 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Berrettini27c768.76$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.412,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabef…3004backed Berrettini66c665.91$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Buse36c630.95$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.055648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Buse36c599.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38154138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Buse34c585.9$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.710440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Berrettini67c573.81$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6165651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Buse45c546$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9756244.1%248 W · 314 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Berrettini66c530.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Buse39c507.35$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2114947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Buse39c502.33$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5737339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ec…b81ebacked Buse58c500$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.986259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Buse30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Buse57c484.45$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2730845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Berrettini63c476.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a37…7b01backed Buse63c476.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.132454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Berrettini32c464.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e0…175cbacked Berrettini47c459.58$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Buse54c436.22$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.663444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Berrettini48c416.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Berrettini29c410$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Buse46c397.33$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.094,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Buse35c387$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.551,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Buse52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Berrettini64c380.24$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.497,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Buse53c379.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Berrettini49c377.04$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.46,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Buse34c376.47$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4719653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Buse56c358.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.297365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Buse63c330.58$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5818248.9%89 W · 93 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Buse56c325.9$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.026,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Berrettini64c318.13$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.61,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Berrettini43c318.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.332227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Buse44c311.46$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.066,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Buse35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Berrettini46c300$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5139438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Berrettini68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.