Tennis · resolved market
Buse vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d1f3faaa322497ccaa5213b723bbc22bef3b020bdc1cca2e638f435a9e5837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Under | 50c | 6,940$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.87 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 50c | 2,946$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.93 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 1,636$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 50c | 908.39$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 50c | 777.48$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.74 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 50c | 534$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Over | 50c | 373.86$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Under | 51c | 227.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 208.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 46c | 143$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 68.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buse vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Buse vs. Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rio Open: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo BerrettiniBuse won
- Set 1 Winner: Buse vs BerrettiniBuse won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)Buse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.