TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Nets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$443,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2379…9ac8backed Nets18c29,061$5,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,283.473327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0851…5a31backed Nets13c15,962$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5147…c45cbacked Nets16c13,763$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets11c12,382$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.1561835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets23c10,100$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.481,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Nets16c8,831$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.344731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers76c8,554$6,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers78c8,427$6,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.391,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets8c6,500$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets20c5,662$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.6437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets0c5,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Nets22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.944330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Nets20c4,670$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9346346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Nets6c3,763$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Nets14c3,501$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Nets14c3,244$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pacers78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66019149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets8c2,950$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3230826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Nets8c2,705$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5915613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Nets9c2,600$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.431125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers79c2,020$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.7129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Nets21c1,881$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.019836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Nets15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Nets24c1,546$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6922049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets20c1,500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29516928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Nets2c1,468$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7416919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets2c1,354$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.331,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets24c1,325$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31516532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets2c1,204$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.117502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Nets6c1,150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets21c1,060$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Nets23c1,004$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.136423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Nets2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.514041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Nets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Nets15c950.27$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14517943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Nets18c888$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.47055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Pacers78c865.06$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3123554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Nets3c825.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Nets16c795.8$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9911939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Pacers78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1547230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Pacers78c687.26$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.29450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…e1ecbacked Pacers79c681.15$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Pacers79c550$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.58052.5%42 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3831…a86abacked Nets14c522.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets16c510$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.436514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Nets22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11045743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Nets11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Nets10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507837.2%29 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…fde9backed Pacers78c482.05$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.051060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Nets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f13…99bebacked Nets22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pacers80c437.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Nets12c400.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4719419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Nets8c399.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4837831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7529643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Nets14c364.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Nets9c350$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.525851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nets19c344$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Nets20c309.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8213929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Pacers76c299.98$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7215365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets22c298.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4480…1f18backed Pacers79c291.14$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Pacers78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.413464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Pacers78c254.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.118354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff0…40b9backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets19c227.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.971,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Nets9c226.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2c…a0a4backed Nets6c208$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.646043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d97…64d7backed Pacers77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585f…e934backed Nets21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed Nets13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Nets13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0925…077abacked Nets23c199.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Nets20c191.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.789638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Nets21c188.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6129747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets11c182.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Nets14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ab…15c0backed Nets23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Pacers79c166.83$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.820756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc182…b720backed Nets24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Nets10c166.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6667911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc307…3012backed Pacers79c165.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccbe…c65dbacked Nets22c163.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf6…5c9bbacked Nets23c160.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Nets19c160$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0526041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1d5…a5b9backed Nets20c157.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.591330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc07a…356dbacked Nets23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+100.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Nets23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3255…a972backed Nets23c143.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Pacers77c140.26$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.265461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d45…020fbacked Nets10c140$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.