Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5233bda2f3625f79caa13af4c61e4e516559314f0b58bd6c9d858a94d634189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 56c | 1,693$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.5 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 1,437$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.61 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 877.66$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 18c | 800.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 80c | 626.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 30c | 538$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 16c | 416.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 376.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 19c | 343.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Under | 50c | 337.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…1c70backed Under | 34c | 253$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…5ce1backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 163.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…26c6backed Under | 10c | 140.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 74c | 135.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked Over | 80c | 119.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 110.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 30c | 103.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 36c | 59.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 47.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 78c | 45.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 45.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…7ab7backed Over | 76c | 40.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 36.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…963bbacked Over | 79c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 77c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.