Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe223040c0a16babebe93ed9c4a2aeea08e376a058a6d2040437ffbb2b2c6ff0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,122$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,304$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 975.67$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.02 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 895$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed Under | 66c | 480.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Over | 34c | 382.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 19c | 372.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 24c | 260$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…cbddbacked Under | 65c | 202.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 26c | 199$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 89.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 21c | 51.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 67c | 37.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.