Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e22602cfbab0a6195180f68837ebafed17adde242669e01f34a5a18004f0800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 60c | 12,730$7,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 8,745$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 40c | 6,247$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.67 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,713$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 34c | 967.92$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 808.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 40c | 665.39$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 67c | 532.35$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 528.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 60c | 454.26$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 40c | 371.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 304.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Under | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…42f5backed Under | 41c | 269.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 47c | 212.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…1c70backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 168.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Over | 60c | 165.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 40c | 163.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 67c | 149.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 39c | 139.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 61c | 133.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 60c | 117.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 104.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 79c | 103.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 40c | 91.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 60c | 75.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 42c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 45c | 73.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 40c | 60.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 58.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…84ffbacked Under | 33c | 57.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 40c | 42.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Over | 49c | 40.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 48c | 38.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 40c | 38.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 39cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 70c | 35.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 40c | 26.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 44c | 22.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.