TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over59c78,544$46,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,333.511050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c20,620$8,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,165.862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,80013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over38c17,000$6,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,459.985330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c4,097$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.7935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7705060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7706060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c2,782$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.621,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c2,289$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under41c1,800$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.1823151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Under64c1,560$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over27c1,398$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.215328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over60c1,058$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under53c922.74$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.745757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c913.12$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.2387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5314362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4726756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under40c761.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.193537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over59c691.59$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.04825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3483951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2956553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under39c458.92$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under41c420$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under41c420$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under41c420$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.87163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over61c383.92$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83ff…93c3backed Over59c375.31$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d31…79fbbacked Over60c335.07$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under41c330$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.711256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under41c330$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.711556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under41c320$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.810952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1775364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17710948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1778263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1778460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under41c280$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.29355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under40c249.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…450abacked Over60c234.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over23c225$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Over60c213.4$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under40c202$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060%0 W · 6 L-4.4wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under41c190$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.18653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Over59c188.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Over59c181.73$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over11c180.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7212147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.29158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd1d…bb61backed Over60c177.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over57c174.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.62450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.38355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.34656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.310653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.38355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.38755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.34759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.39355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.48858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over59c154.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.54562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.57655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe174…f74bbacked Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.83464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.89354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.83562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.810556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.83560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.810756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.87452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over25c110.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under43c98.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over61c81.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.25052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.25851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…d0f7backed Over59c72.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.310652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.43161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.45356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.43253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.