Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25da5312d9cf6dcaaac8af39d656eb0b7940682420bacbbcb4cf3324eae0df4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 28,525$18,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,356.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 34c | 18,240$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 2,624$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.03 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 59c | 1,065$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.23 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 447.71$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 76c | 447.37$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 445.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.26 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 46c | 434.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 18c | 410$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 38c | 260$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 31c | 225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 37c | 223$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 26c | 192.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 33c | 166$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 30c | 146$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Under | 80c | 123.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 23c | 115.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 25c | 100.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 83.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 22c | 61.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 59.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 50.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 61c | 41.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 52c | 40.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 71c | 33.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.