Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162cc3116b0bca7596fe36955b51eb4b65f68ff695f8a4f1b556e5b5d1d33672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 27c | 23,098$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.1 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 73c | 21,674$15,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 70c | 8,408$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.9 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 6,962$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.24 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 5,317$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.1 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yes | 30c | 3,800$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed No | 71c | 3,155$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 72c | 2,809$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,183$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 71c | 2,163$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.24 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,644$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 28c | 998.65$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.73 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…847dbacked Yes | 30c | 939.4$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…7578backed No | 71c | 939.4$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Yes | 29c | 833.3$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Yes | 30c | 800$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 18c | 685$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…9ba9backed Yes | 30c | 476.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…1d88backed Yes | 30c | 446.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed No | 71c | 420.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 70c | 351.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 343$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 343$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked No | 73c | 342.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…00a0backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 30c | 310$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Yes | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 31c | 283.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…09f1backed No | 71c | 264.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 78c | 217.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…aa0fbacked No | 71c | 214.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 70c | 207$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…e17fbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…9428backed Yes | 29c | 177.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 29c | 158.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 10c | 155.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed No | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…afcabacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…bbd8backed Yes | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…04e3backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…8008backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…eb8cbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…61a6backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 29c | 123.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 70c | 119.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…5321backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…c252backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…a82cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…6465backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…979abacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…2b7abacked No | 71c | 86.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked No | 71c | 84.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…65c6backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…2274backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 30c | 82.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…34b6backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…2b16backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…f100backed No | 73c | 72.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…3f01backed No | 71c | 68.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed No | 71c | 68.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 64cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed No | 71c | 67.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 69c | 67.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…a96cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…960abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…c268backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked No | 71c | 65.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…08e8backed Yes | 31c | 64.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…f258backed No | 71c | 62.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…044cbacked No | 73c | 60.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…fcd1backed Yes | 30c | 58.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed No | 71c | 56.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed No | 71c | 55.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Yes | 30c | 53.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed No | 71c | 53.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.