TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa6a…2b7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.53
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.18
Bucharest Open: Francesco Maestrelli vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$42.28
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Morelia: Alexis Galarneau vs Miguel Tobonbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.19
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteirobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.28
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Baez vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$31.33
Fritz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+27.2%+$2.85
Shelton vs. Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$15.4
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.94
US Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Jaume Munarbacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.57
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$20.28
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.61
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.16
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.6
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.49
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+185.7%+$127.29
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.26
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.88
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$109.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Marlinsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$26.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$37.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.