Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5565ff9ef3920b7061aa035d964c7da1ae66a1f71f3b3eeb67901d884a056981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 11,790$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,475.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 7,711$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.34 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 51c | 3,100$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,300$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 2,096$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.63 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 64c | 1,307$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 1,157$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.02 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 67c | 835.81$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 21c | 800.26$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.1 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 595.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.12 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…e72ebacked Over | 64c | 479.43$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Over | 64c | 434.81$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 78c | 382.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 77c | 381.22$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 372.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 23c | 350$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 69c | 291.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 197.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…2357backed Over | 79c | 187.59$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Over | 79c | 130.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…2b7abacked Over | 79c | 127.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 24c | 105.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 78c | 96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 92.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 23c | 72.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Under | 46c | 67.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 39c | 66.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 57c | 51.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…8919backed Under | 23c | 51.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…0f76backed Under | 23c | 47.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +317.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…fcd6backed Under | 24c | 42.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…584abacked Over | 79c | 33.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…db47backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 36c | 27.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 25.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 23.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…05c3backed Over | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…519dbacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…d672backed Over | 78c | 18.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…5e33backed Over | 78c | 17.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…d93ebacked Over | 78c | 16.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…f7eabacked Over | 78c | 15.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…2baabacked Over | 78c | 15.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…eec6backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…b1febacked Over | 78c | 14.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec3…5ba8backed Over | 78c | 14.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…0c62backed Over | 78c | 13.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5this page
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.