Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6362b0d21e3f5aabf874e7d536c1db26cb03981e9b7d9c644102cc1755578451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgradof Rangers FC, PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 72c | 3,324$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.07 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Rangers FC | 29c | 2,415$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 75c | 1,101$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Rangers FC | 37c | 757$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.65 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 76c | 625$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Rangers FC | 25c | 575.01$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers FC | 27c | 547.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Rangers FC | 24c | 427.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Rangers FC | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 73c | 126.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Rangers FC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Rangers FC | 23c | 76.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Rangers FC | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764c…60d8backed Rangers FC | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed Rangers FC | 42c | 44.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rangers FC | 34c | 44.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…21fbbacked Rangers FC | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 76c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…3bd5backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)this page
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.