Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd267ad71e31270d4cdd65fb28245f93f70695bb70c3f53292a4092586e1f4c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 59c | 6,142$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 4,206$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,063$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.07 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 40c | 705.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 58c | 332.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…8167backed No | 46c | 308.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 57c | 203$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 147.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 43c | 137.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 41c | 132$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 128$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 59c | 124$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 58c | 101.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 58c | 101.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 57c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 58c | 69.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +60%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No | 43c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 58c | 45.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…6ec2backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…18c0backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…9d1ebacked No | 45c | 25.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…8282backed Yes | 59c | 22.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.