Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4571ef52643f5ab302a478e877c64ab098254c04de129c6f12c2c3ff4489c830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,388$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 55c | 1,808$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 1,801$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 1,366$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.92 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,206$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.81 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 44c | 1,138$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 53c | 877.07$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 47c | 877.07$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 625.37$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 49c | 496.08$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 51c | 362.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 273$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 65c | 273$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 178.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 55c | 166$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 67.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 60.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 55c | 58.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 51.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…9099backed Over | 51c | 32.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5this page
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.