TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked No70c20,161$14,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,956.0740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes29c7,360$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.59235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c5,150$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e6…d62dbacked Yes25c4,922$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No74c4,763$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.3813547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c2,909$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.0683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No71c2,731$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.945650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe695…7493backed Yes27c2,587$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.89944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes29c1,730$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes30c1,682$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No71c1,609$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6740640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No72c1,564$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.0114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a98…00aabacked Yes12c1,508$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes26c1,409$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.4917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes29c1,382$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.325644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes29c1,365$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked No74c1,347$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.27366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes31c1,204$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No71c1,203$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.816660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes22c1,200$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No71c1,065$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…6dbabacked Yes30c928.57$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked Yes28c899.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes29c896.38$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26422932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No71c773.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No77c765$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8278…8f7fbacked Yes30c724.8$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x267d…81e0backed Yes29c702.89$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.381662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No72c665.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.485646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed Yes28c597$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.162556%14 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c527$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes28c500$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14220819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aab…c911backed Yes17c468.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes26c466.65$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.334637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes25c450$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.58230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x618f…26d1backed Yes30c430.13$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e74…4934backed Yes30c426.33$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6a…2b7abacked Yes31c410.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…e707backed Yes30c409.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9f…b79cbacked Yes30c404.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.450%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f99…32bbbacked Yes30c403.8$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968c…1e04backed Yes30c398.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…fae1backed Yes30c396.93$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd938…f16bbacked Yes30c395.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c66…ed30backed Yes30c362.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes29c357.46$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.447241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3bc…cab7backed Yes29c354.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.72850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes29c346.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x163c…2af1backed Yes28c346.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No72c345$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.67159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…40c0backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes29c344.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…4c25backed Yes30c332.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes20c320$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.26628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…2997backed Yes30c311.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…f888backed No71c309.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x645c…db2bbacked Yes30c302.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…1fc1backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.58937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8b1…9380backed Yes31c298.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No71c295.07$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5717153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4697…d04bbacked Yes29c283.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-71.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes28c268.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c07…e331backed Yes30c266.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes29c265.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x746f…2014backed Yes28c262.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.431070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa970…c980backed No71c258.84$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe717…608dbacked Yes30c255.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6350%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No72c254.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3240135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ca…5178backed Yes30c249.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x939f…d740backed Yes30c247.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aca…95f7backed Yes29c244.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…3054backed Yes28c243.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a72…ce3ebacked Yes30c237.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-77.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x369d…6d58backed Yes30c234.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.44520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fee…6d03backed Yes30c225.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb447…8582backed Yes29c222.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3171…0e8abacked Yes29c221.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.32757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ff…93c3backed Yes29c217.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.04520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b0…f2afbacked Yes30c216.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0350%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes15c215$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.37350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41f…a6babacked Yes29c214.18$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53be…6377backed No71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc585…3212backed Yes30c209$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Yes30c203.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa927…b8e7backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1320…563cbacked Yes30c199.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29a…e3b2backed Yes30c196.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9eb…928bbacked Yes29c196.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13cb…f258backed Yes29c189.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0291…7cd5backed Yes30c186.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fd…1596backed Yes29c176.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick61cpaid-48.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.