Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70fdff04826e4285b2770463a22977c3b378a63a44d7ef79b2848e862283fa68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 28c | 1,561$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.08 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 72c | 1,253$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.94 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Yes | 26c | 995.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 27c | 733.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 28c | 642.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 28c | 545.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 454.45$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 8c | 427.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 415.15$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 26c | 385.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed No | 73c | 383.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 376.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 27c | 284.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 280.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 254.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 74c | 228.38$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 73c | 224.37$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…6348backed Yes | 26c | 224.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1797backed Yes | 24c | 221.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 202.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…da32backed Yes | 27c | 202.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…b93fbacked Yes | 27c | 178.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Yes | 28c | 145.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 77c | 104.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…23a6backed No | 75c | 83.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…d84ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…e0fdbacked No | 75c | 72.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8f5ebacked No | 75c | 68.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 23c | 62.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d7c7backed No | 75c | 60.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…fde8backed No | 75c | 58.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab91…3cdcbacked No | 75c | 58.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…c30abacked No | 74c | 55.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…9433backed No | 75c | 54.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…879bbacked No | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 28c | 53.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…4cb1backed No | 75c | 28.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed No | 75c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-25?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.