TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports49c35,353$17,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,147.5610661.3%65 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked BetBoom Team49c23,285$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,784.4115852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Tundra Esports54c23,204$12,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,492.553953.8%21 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed BetBoom Team44c17,045$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,545.4213155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed BetBoom Team43c14,112$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,043.9827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed BetBoom Team46c11,837$5,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400.25558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Tundra Esports55c8,225$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.037855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team34c7,054$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,659.589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a5…de1bbacked BetBoom Team52c6,700$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2165358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed BetBoom Team55c6,000$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73019047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Tundra Esports56c6,000$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.838245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Tundra Esports52c5,877$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.392254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Tundra Esports35c5,623$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.74378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-73.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports57c5,617$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.7834146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Tundra Esports62c5,262$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.9441055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed BetBoom Team44c5,000$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.944245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team40c4,660$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.252,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed BetBoom Team48c4,293$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.2219148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Tundra Esports52c4,158$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.1619246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed BetBoom Team45c4,000$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.6216050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed BetBoom Team42c3,937$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.2716842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team44c3,890$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.391,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9571…1d98backed Tundra Esports55c3,783$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.731662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5c…99e1backed Tundra Esports54c3,519$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.262152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Tundra Esports57c3,503$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…51ebbacked Tundra Esports54c3,028$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-77.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed BetBoom Team43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7104645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports20c2,979$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.1480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports58c2,917$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.6123465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed BetBoom Team45c2,860$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.316647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed BetBoom Team50c2,622$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.4562650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Tundra Esports39c2,431$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.183655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports56c2,398$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.712351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports57c2,228$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27029160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked BetBoom Team56c2,094$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Tundra Esports12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Tundra Esports51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.7512851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed BetBoom Team49c1,789$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Tundra Esports56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Tundra Esports56c1,714$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked BetBoom Team76c1,673$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.889661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Tundra Esports55c1,637$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.353348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Tundra Esports54c1,512$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9117946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90039936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed BetBoom Team43c1,350$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76628341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports78c1,320$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.0977941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports7c1,307$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2638049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Tundra Esports70c1,287$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked BetBoom Team55c1,255$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.987146.5%33 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked BetBoom Team46c1,200$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f1…f95fbacked Tundra Esports56c1,125$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.112466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BetBoom Team44c1,110$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.78146.9%38 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed BetBoom Team38c1,095$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.2423529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Tundra Esports49c1,090$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9417950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed BetBoom Team55c1,089$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.453036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff5…57a8backed Tundra Esports48c1,083$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed BetBoom Team48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.676155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6857…9f77backed BetBoom Team44c1,016$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.773342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Tundra Esports80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008950.6%45 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Tundra Esports57c987.54$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.913346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…1443backed Tundra Esports57c900.98$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Tundra Esports63c852.88$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.594052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Tundra Esports49c820$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39956848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed BetBoom Team53c819.9$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1946…e255backed BetBoom Team47c787.85$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.561361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Tundra Esports56c765$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4d…7367backed Tundra Esports78c756.44$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.631758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked BetBoom Team44c735.1$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7510048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Tundra Esports40c719.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28822033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Tundra Esports55c716.51$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.081181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Tundra Esports55c699.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38517146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team44c687.06$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.1986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed BetBoom Team38c611$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.13941%16 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd08b…daa9backed Tundra Esports51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b8…8fa9backed Tundra Esports79c584.03$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Tundra Esports79c569.62$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed Tundra Esports25c529.21$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.799128.6%26 W · 65 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed BetBoom Team58c520.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.033357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports55c519.31$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6255251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed BetBoom Team43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28520642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed BetBoom Team20c497.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.214039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a9…ef69backed BetBoom Team55c492.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.41757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Tundra Esports56c462$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26119743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…9af0backed BetBoom Team44c457.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports55c446.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.180544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed BetBoom Team23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7810850%54 W · 54 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked BetBoom Team46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked BetBoom Team37c428.48$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.888411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BetBoom Team47c427.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2464744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Tundra Esports67c425$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2510340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked BetBoom Team58c412.19$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed BetBoom Team55c410$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20453652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0719…c6b9backed Tundra Esports3c380$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team54c371.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0464149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team53c369$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2559250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bae…14adbacked BetBoom Team48c367.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…8184backed BetBoom Team43c366.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.39540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked BetBoom Team56c355.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.274967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.