Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6f8d90b5b8628970858cee01ce0801ef5932ee167ea7aa6b90bbb30feede96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 71c | 75,000$53,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,250 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 29c | 67,106$19,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,644.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebf…874dbacked No | 29c | 38,260$11,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,164.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…b286backed Yes | 71c | 31,260$22,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,194.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…7008backed No | 26c | 18,840$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,951.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 30c | 17,260$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,095.56 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 72c | 15,681$11,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,290.61 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 78c | 15,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 28c | 12,940$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,294.46 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 39c | 10,738$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,598.79 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 29c | 10,518$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.88 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 26c | 8,621$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.49 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 21c | 8,163$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.35 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 72c | 7,767$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…304fbacked Yes | 70c | 7,052$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…3174backed Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 26c | 6,745$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.85 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 71c | 6,009$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 29c | 4,419$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.62 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 70c | 4,367$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 49c | 4,279$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.37 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 28c | 4,217$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 27c | 4,142$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.57 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 4,128$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.65 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 70c | 3,872$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 24c | 3,288$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.56 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed Yes | 70c | 3,228$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Yes | 70c | 3,227$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Yes | 71c | 3,102$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 72c | 3,097$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.52 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 67c | 3,092$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.97 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed No | 29c | 3,003$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.95 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 30c | 2,740$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.12 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 14c | 2,666$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…52b4backed Yes | 71c | 2,401$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 29c | 2,227$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.11 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed No | 29c | 2,172$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,089$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db8…5634backed Yes | 63c | 2,087$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 58c | 2,066$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…d158backed Yes | 70c | 2,006$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Yes | 71c | 1,919$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 71c | 1,783$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 1,708$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.41 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 39c | 1,659$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 29c | 1,613$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.96 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 70c | 1,561$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c0…32f4backed Yes | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 33c | 1,350$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 29c | 1,316$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.71 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 29c | 1,200$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…ba8dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 44c | 1,042$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.75 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 41c | 1,005$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c03…21d0backed No | 28c | 955$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 31c | 900.43$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.01 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 38c | 786.72$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…d6e4backed No | 29c | 750$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…0b92backed Yes | 70c | 714.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 10c | 688.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 72c | 673.61$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 28c | 588$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 30c | 573.94$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.98 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 571.6$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.39 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 5c | 538.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…a97abacked Yes | 71c | 535$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 72c | 519.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.19 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Yes | 71c | 493.01$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…adc9backed No | 28c | 490$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +213.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…66b3backed Yes | 72c | 458.63$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Yes | 71c | 424.94$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…bb19backed Yes | 72c | 420$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…77b0backed Yes | 71c | 403.96$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 29c | 399.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 71c | 389$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed No | 21c | 385.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Yes | 71c | 351.24$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…9e22backed No | 28c | 340$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…6dafbacked Yes | 71c | 340$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f6…317cbacked Yes | 72c | 340$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 34c | 324.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Yes | 71c | 310.45$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.