Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. Shelton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ab7b842a18e2df087bc8e24f08e0fb56e16ff3d75e408d6a7e9c5ea9232ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Fokina, Shelton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Shelton | 50c | 6,817$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.96 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Fokina | 27c | 6,634$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.77 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Shelton | 32c | 4,349$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.64 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Fokina | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Shelton | 72c | 3,073$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.47 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Shelton | 6c | 2,944$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Fokina | 68c | 2,675$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.71 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina | 68c | 2,653$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.81 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fokina | 27c | 2,515$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.48 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton | 6c | 2,121$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Shelton | 31c | 2,070$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.6 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Shelton | 73c | 1,800$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.98 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Fokina | 27c | 1,208$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.63 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Fokina | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Shelton | 36c | 833.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Shelton | 59c | 699.07$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Shelton | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fokina | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Shelton | 52c | 467.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fokina | 24c | 407.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Shelton | 63c | 405.88$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shelton | 33c | 391.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fokina | 28c | 354.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.56 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Shelton | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Shelton | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Shelton | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Shelton | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Shelton | 72c | 237.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Shelton | 43c | 218.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked Shelton | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Fokina | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fokina | 27c | 199.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Fokina | 35c | 159.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Shelton | 74c | 158.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Shelton | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Shelton | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Shelton | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Shelton | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Shelton | 73c | 109.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…0f25backed Fokina | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Fokina | 26c | 87.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Shelton | 75c | 85.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fokina | 26c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Fokina | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Shelton | 75c | 53.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Shelton | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Fokina | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Shelton | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Fokina | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Shelton | 74c | 49.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Shelton | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 167 | 61.1%102 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…64f1backed Shelton | 74c | 41.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked Shelton | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Shelton | 73c | 41.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Fokina | 40c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Fokina | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked Shelton | 75c | 37.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Shelton | 74c | 37.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…df05backed Shelton | 76c | 36.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shelton | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Shelton | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Shelton | 64c | 26.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…7209backed Shelton | 74c | 21.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…3f01backed Shelton | 74c | 21.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…4c25backed Shelton | 74c | 20.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Shelton | 73c | 19.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae0…c81abacked Shelton | 74c | 18.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Shelton | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…2b7abacked Shelton | 74c | 15.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…8d2ebacked Shelton | 74c | 15.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Shelton | 74c | 14.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…f16bbacked Shelton | 74c | 14.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.