TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c10,821$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c7,844$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.952,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over71c4,050$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.211353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over63c3,258$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.053650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c2,821$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.311,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over65c2,550$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.972944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over63c1,582$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under37c1,082$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.562429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over76c1,002$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.847848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Under35c999.96$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20fa…5ed9backed Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2310361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over61c734.07$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5810451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under35c612.61$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over64c546.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.882245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over63c546.78$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under28c473.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.324139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over65c452.31$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3111268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Over77c428.04$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3811772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over76c419.99$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under5c392$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.767412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4997…4bb6backed Over65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.62540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c366.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c342.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over63c340$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.81376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…38e6backed Over65c309.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.697954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over64c304.81$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.737254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Over61c292.45$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under36c279.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7714142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over45c255$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.255046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under36c250.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.37847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed Over65c239.35$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…9c9bbacked Over65c217.08$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.985100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under28c190.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4611144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under28c186.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1115045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over80c173.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.413056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over65c169.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under28c169.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5524849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over62c159.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.042871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over64c156.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Over64c156.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.721450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c138.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.314351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over70c128.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2115253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Over63c122.22$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.222268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over66c121.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c120.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over65c119.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8833144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.516842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over65c104.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.442875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under39c103.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.022240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c100.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…0b99backed Over75c100.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1514254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…2020backed Over65c96.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over65c94.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.077552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over60c83.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8315648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c82.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over63c79.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.219436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Under40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under26c70.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0636852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3740…f38dbacked Under24c67.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.493056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6a…2b7abacked Over65c61.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over66c57.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.813250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa775…20d7backed Under23c56.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Under37c53.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under22c52.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.853129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under37c52.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.464042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under37c51.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.936048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under35c45.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9314452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under32c44.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.933638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c50…ab35backed Over65c41.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over63c39.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.696768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c5…deeebacked Over65c39.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3290…5079backed Over51c39.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over64c39.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under26c39.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.273531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over51c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4411460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.