TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a26…1851backed Under61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.996245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under63c2,984$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.7398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over37c1,395$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c1,067$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.242,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under63c923.61$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.6422947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under64c709.07$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.7159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under60c673.27$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.5852748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over39c649.03$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6313137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over43c633.2$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.25655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over40c530$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.93571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over35c503.52$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.610736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32016842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Over33c425.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.912218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over36c414.96$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.573948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over37c405$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.152245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over56c357.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.298065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under58c293.93$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.639826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c72…9567backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over38c264.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.272254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over38c263.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.653638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.169844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over34c205.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3311144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over39c202.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over59c201$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under62c199.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12412649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over38c194.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.594235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf6…773bbacked Over36c180.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.562020%4 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over38c179.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4111547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under66c177.21$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.772240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over38c157.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over25c150$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.128445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c149.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.863655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under61c140.82$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3224849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c140.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.892171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over38c132.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.176241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over38c132$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.845742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under17c126.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over42c125.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.567848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under59c124$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1915045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over38c121.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Over34c111.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+79.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2610330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over20c99.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9815623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under59c97.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.744139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over36c97.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.224727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over36c93.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.211460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed Under65c87.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over24c84.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.232454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c83.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.952937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over38c75.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c74.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.641,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.174528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under46c69.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4419436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Over38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0517538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd6…4ed9backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.638143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631850%9 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over39c51.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.573638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under62c47.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over33c44.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over39c43.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5919542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.414351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d57…9630backed Under73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4712033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under62c33.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0714452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Under55c33.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7917058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Over37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over32c32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6614936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30aa…25f4backed Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.611255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over35c29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8517142.7%73 W · 98 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Over37c28.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.121643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x553e…5526backed Over38c27.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under66c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1615041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under64c21.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.793246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bca…dcaabacked Over49c20.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.