NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ddaa4e307140802484562da6442745c625034e259c5a17bac8279fd6987555b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 835 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Clippers | 59c | 68,004$40,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,968.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c9…8770backed Clippers | 58c | 59,103$34,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,823.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…9d45backed Magic | 42c | 59,103$24,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,823.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Magic | 41c | 36,089$14,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,796.59 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 40c | 17,887$7,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,213.85 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 46c | 12,319$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,693.73 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Clippers | 70c | 12,316$8,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.45 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 29c | 11,948$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 42c | 11,272$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.23 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 39c | 9,860$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.01 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 39c | 8,982$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.13 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers | 58c | 7,724$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.59 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers | 55c | 7,340$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Clippers | 61c | 7,123$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.97 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Magic | 42c | 5,874$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.06 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Clippers | 72c | 5,645$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.79 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 41c | 5,184$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.12 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Clippers | 58c | 5,164$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.84 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Magic | 41c | 4,948$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.88 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Clippers | 62c | 4,796$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.33 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Clippers | 59c | 4,608$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.12 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 22c | 3,795$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 40c | 3,664$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 41c | 3,568$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.87 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 41c | 3,512$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.1 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 50c | 3,500$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 41c | 3,370$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.92 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Magic | 42c | 3,280$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.54 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 27c | 2,767$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 42c | 2,703$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.17 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 42c | 2,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Clippers | 58c | 2,400$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Clippers | 60c | 2,392$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.81 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Magic | 42c | 2,347$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Magic | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Clippers | 59c | 2,080$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.83 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Clippers | 59c | 2,033$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.81 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Clippers | 56c | 2,003$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Magic | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Magic | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Magic | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 43c | 1,793$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Clippers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.84 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Clippers | 52c | 1,750$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 44c | 1,648$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.32 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 3c | 1,600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Magic | 35c | 1,522$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.03 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Clippers | 59c | 1,384$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.13 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 56c | 1,384$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.37 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Magic | 43c | 1,275$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Clippers | 57c | 1,275$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 41c | 1,238$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.53 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 41c | 1,189$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 16c | 1,184$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Clippers | 45c | 1,122$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.58 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Clippers | 79c | 1,112$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Clippers | 57c | 1,064$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Magic | 43c | 1,064$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers | 57c | 1,050$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.48 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Magic | 43c | 1,049$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Clippers | 57c | 1,049$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Magic | 41c | 1,022$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.02 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Magic | 41c | 1,005$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.05 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Clippers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Clippers | 59c | 940.68$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Clippers | 60c | 916.07$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.24 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Clippers | 58c | 902.66$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.12 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Clippers | 58c | 899.91$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Clippers | 59c | 852$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…f49ebacked Clippers | 77c | 830$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Magic | 7c | 824.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb738…4536backed Magic | 42c | 809.52$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Clippers | 48c | 808.74$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Magic | 42c | 799.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756b…fab1backed Clippers | 59c | 794.92$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 33c | 751.3$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 41c | 748$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 43c | 656.3$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.65 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 58c | 646.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Magic | 48c | 600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Clippers | 58c | 599.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Clippers | 53c | 569.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.81 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Magic | 43c | 562.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 43c | 538$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Clippers | 59c | 525.14$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Clippers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…1fc9backed Magic | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Clippers | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Magic | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 39c | 499.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Clippers | 61c | 493.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.42 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.