Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcc5644bee63899d11fcbd5978b7d0c9554e779cd39780a33af4413aacfd0ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 39c | 326,415$127,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,244.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 61c | 120,546$73,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,013.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 61c | 119,560$72,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,663.3 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 61c | 30,800$18,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,012 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…5986backed Yes | 62c | 28,215$17,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,721.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 61c | 13,225$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 61c | 9,675$5,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.08 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 38c | 6,214$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 59c | 5,218$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.01 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 61c | 4,300$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.24 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 36c | 3,560$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.15 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 38c | 3,034$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed No | 27c | 2,209$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 61c | 2,080$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 43c | 2,015$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.26 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.97 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,719$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.9 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,612$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 45c | 1,605$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 62c | 1,599$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.75 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 43c | 910.24$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.95 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 13c | 846.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 57c | 802$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 38c | 799.92$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 719.37$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.49 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 39c | 633.76$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 508.94$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Yes | 61c | 486.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed Yes | 62c | 476$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 59c | 466.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 44c | 452.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 63c | 425.19$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 62c | 367.52$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 57c | 351.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes | 59c | 350$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 62c | 348.73$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 59c | 339.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 61c | 260.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Yes | 63c | 244.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 40c | 235.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 55c | 227.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Yes | 47c | 213.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 65c | 210.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 40c | 208.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 78c | 181.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…25f8backed Yes | 63c | 180.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…5e7abacked Yes | 64c | 170.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 61c | 154.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 62c | 153.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes | 62c | 135.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 63c | 134.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 61c | 123.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 62c | 116.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…1b63backed Yes | 62c | 113.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed Yes | 61c | 101$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 54c | 92.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 58c | 85.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…c6c1backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 62c | 80.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…8559backed Yes | 62c | 79.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…b7c6backed Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…d34ebacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…9f06backed Yes | 57c | 61.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…5144backed Yes | 64c | 60.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 57c | 50.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…b123backed Yes | 58c | 49.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e43dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +173%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will Lecce vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.