Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4734131f69900bb758edf2df048cd02d65d068707a1184cbee4a09c6d704af74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 5,200$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 12c | 3,549$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,411$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.62 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 2,829$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 2,162$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 14c | 1,600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 15c | 1,360$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 12c | 1,186$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 16c | 761$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 6c | 488.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 10c | 331.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Yes | 14c | 323.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 13c | 313.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 14c | 264.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 13c | 205.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 15c | 176$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 17c | 167$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 13c | 148.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 19c | 108.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 14c | 102.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?Yes won
- Will Lecce vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.