Champions League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdfe12184653677d4d2cb7424a59d5854bd1889037628732fd846271160bae74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $743,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $765,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 41c | 159,999$65,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,399.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 59c | 157,366$92,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,797.38 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 40c | 86,340$34,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,061.74 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 42c | 82,889$34,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,075.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 60c | 52,775$31,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,629.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 26c | 50,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.99 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 74c | 35,823$26,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,314.1 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 61c | 29,593$18,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,051.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 58c | 28,541$16,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,592.08 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 40c | 27,266$10,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,417.99 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 22,553$12,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,466.42 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 59c | 16,940$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked No | 61c | 16,107$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 71c | 14,151$10,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.02 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…d1d6backed Yes | 41c | 9,540$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,628.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 42c | 9,530$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.45 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Yes | 40c | 6,938$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 60c | 6,669$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 60c | 5,961$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 39c | 5,861$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.56 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 59c | 5,449$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.68 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No | 62c | 5,330$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked No | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked No | 60c | 3,860$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed No | 60c | 3,800$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 3,616$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.67 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 61c | 3,370$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed No | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed No | 45c | 3,233$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…4afebacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 55c | 2,984$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 60c | 2,814$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.48 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,541$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.9 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 60c | 2,526$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 56c | 2,505$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.88 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 62c | 2,418$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 41c | 2,355$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.95 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Yes | 40c | 2,200$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,078$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.27 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 32c | 1,997$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.07 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 42c | 1,951$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked No | 62c | 1,735$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 1,657$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.1 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d71…3b2cbacked No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 60c | 1,499$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,470$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 1,397$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.15 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 1,386$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.47 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,333$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…5144backed No | 62c | 1,300$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +304.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…8c9ebacked No | 59c | 1,270$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 40c | 1,260$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Yes | 38c | 1,230$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…9f16backed No | 61c | 1,184$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 40c | 1,128$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.04 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,108$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…e28cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +222%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed No | 61c | 1,100$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.97 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Yes | 39c | 1,095$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9ea3backed Yes | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,014$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,003$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.02 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked No | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 40c | 999.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 32c | 997.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.36 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…183ebacked Yes | 39c | 994.36$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Yes | 40c | 992.39$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 39c | 977.05$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.59 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 45c | 957.25$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.11 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 41c | 897.41$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.47 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d3d6backed No | 62c | 878$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f2…876dbacked Yes | 38c | 846$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Yes | 40c | 831.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes | 41c | 739.32$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked No | 62c | 738.91$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.