Tennis · resolved market
Bucharest Open: Francesco Maestrelli vs Botic van de Zandschulp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e0c3a1ecdde1241ad161e1d31a29ee223c0aa2d8dc93310125be99fdc2be54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Botic van de Zandschulpof Francesco Maestrelli, Botic van de Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Francesco Maestrelli | 17c | 1,642$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.08 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Francesco Maestrelli | 29c | 1,306$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Francesco Maestrelli | 19c | 859.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.76 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 79c | 719.69$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francesco Maestrelli | 16c | 515.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 69c | 421.03$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 71c | 417.07$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Francesco Maestrelli | 33c | 415.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 32c | 331.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 291.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Francesco Maestrelli | 32c | 263.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 209.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 197.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 193.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 25c | 175.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Francesco Maestrelli | 30c | 174.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…d0f5backed Francesco Maestrelli | 15c | 169.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Francesco Maestrelli | 9c | 168.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 31c | 161.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…2b7abacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 72c | 148.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 71c | 139.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 75c | 132.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Francesco Maestrelli | 30c | 122.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 32c | 121.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 69c | 113.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 66c | 100.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…7216backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 147 | 70.7%104 W · 43 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 19c | 97.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 77c | 84.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 68c | 81.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 65c | 80.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Francesco Maestrelli | 20c | 73.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…9152backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 72c | 68.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 49.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Francesco Maestrelli | 31c | 47.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Francesco Maestrelli | 31c | 47.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…8114backed Francesco Maestrelli | 31c | 46.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 67c | 39.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Francesco Maestrelli | 27c | 37.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 72c | 33.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 74c | 30.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 72c | 27.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 70c | 27.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 74c | 26.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…27bfbacked Botic van de Zandschulp | 71c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa4…4c18backed Botic van de Zandschulp | 73c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucharest Open: Francesco Maestrelli vs Botic van de Zandschulpthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Maestrelli vs ZandschulpZandschulp won
- Set Handicap: Zandschulp (-1.5) vs Maestrelli (+1.5)Zandschulp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.