TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes68c8,041$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.032272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No3c8,011$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.44520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes69c6,055$4,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.524341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes67c5,498$3,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.2833055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No30c5,462$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.242669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6503444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No32c4,625$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4802718.5%5 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.972737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc71…39dabacked Yes70c3,633$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed No32c3,632$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No31c3,112$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.917566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4422…79aebacked No33c2,964$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed Yes67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes69c1,500$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe20…4d3ebacked Yes67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb173…6724backed No1c1,035$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No33c914.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No30c808.06$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes68c714.29$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9315376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No29c697.89$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8612243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No30c531.83$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.854235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6a…2b7abacked Yes72c392.21$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No22c360.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1627939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes69c318.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed No33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes71c282.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50a…b40bbacked Yes71c269.69$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No6c221.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1817835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661f…605bbacked No32c218.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No30c180.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0114042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No29c168.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x710b…ce8fbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Yes70c132.27$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec5…20d8backed Yes69c129.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3887…7f5bbacked Yes70c125.72$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038d…d484backed No28c123.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes68c119.49$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.248543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No33c118.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.093265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes68c110$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes72c104.85$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.851450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…6549backed Yes68c103.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecc…80a4backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…4356backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…342bbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbb…377abacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed No29c99.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.992528%7 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No30c89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.714252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x083d…18b0backed Yes70c76.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…c35bbacked Yes63c76.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4420655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc43b…784dbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c36…c074backed Yes70c65.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x063b…7d47backed Yes69c65.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0687…fa37backed Yes70c59.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes70c56.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes69c53.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…4130backed Yes71c50.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671b…e4bdbacked No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+98.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b33…f33bbacked No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Yes68c45.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes70c42.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51cb…3dd0backed Yes70c41.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaa…8990backed Yes68c37.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9f…b79cbacked Yes70c35.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.724261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cd…c78fbacked Yes72c34.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f80…4da7backed Yes72c32.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b25…673ebacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3660…8c06backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bc…3667backed Yes70c27.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d4…ae49backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3f…753cbacked Yes70c27.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes69c25.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.918743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes65c22.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0512737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa520…41e3backed Yes70c21.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…53e2backed Yes71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1403…19c8backed Yes70c20.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes70c18.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc697…6a7ebacked Yes69c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Yes71c16.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes70c16.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.