Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10d8f1f3752748f666321ae018c5b86a7760ade7814d07f44d9e44e6324027ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Yes | 14c | 13,857$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 13c | 4,462$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 11c | 2,170$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…05e3backed Yes | 8c | 1,111$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 6c | 913.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 6c | 613.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 11c | 399.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 12c | 370.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 11c | 290.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 11c | 285$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…6724backed Yes | 13c | 231$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 17c | 210.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…fe93backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…ef50backed Yes | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…364abacked Yes | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 11c | 110.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked Yes | 14c | 80.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-17?this page
- Will Lazio vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?No won
- Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.