TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b25…673e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.38
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$83.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.