TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Wild, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 733 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild32c33,849$10,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,969.6336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Golden Knights68c20,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4004650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Wild35c15,589$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,489.9611441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights67c11,025$7,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.4992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…8cf7backed Wild32c9,999$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6342…7bd4backed Golden Knights68c9,998$6,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Golden Knights67c9,979$6,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.9713845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…303bbacked Golden Knights68c5,624$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.641471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Golden Knights64c5,465$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.614151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Wild32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9816645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Wild33c4,567$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.1764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.9386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights64c3,892$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.2717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights67c3,858$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.251,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1551,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights66c3,469$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.761,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Golden Knights68c3,253$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.898854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights67c3,211$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.421,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights68c3,000$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97511354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild32c2,791$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.0930551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Golden Knights68c2,534$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.881650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Wild32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights72c2,322$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.841,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Wild33c2,313$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.3683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild39c2,195$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.4584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Wild45c2,097$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights67c2,000$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.8997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights61c1,937$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Golden Knights69c1,936$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.3123761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Golden Knights67c1,517$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7111145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Wild19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Wild31c1,474$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Wild33c1,400$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46410739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild22c1,383$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Golden Knights67c1,338$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.966764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Wild31c1,324$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Golden Knights41c1,262$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.8218237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Wild35c1,165$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6813348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Wild60c1,140$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.2342751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights68c1,111$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Wild41c1,101$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7520751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Golden Knights79c1,024$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.713363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Wild33c1,023$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7523642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Wild33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Wild21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild47c840.54$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights69c818.5$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8219848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights59c800.02$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.59942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Golden Knights67c749.99$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights67c745.45$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24639752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Wild31c688.29$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3729748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild31c683.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Golden Knights68c585.99$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2713043.8%57 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Wild32c563.53$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.676850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Wild28c549.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.88955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights67c542.16$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Golden Knights69c536.25$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2428152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3325…cae0backed Wild35c534.29$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Wild31c527.86$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7120649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e64…5686backed Golden Knights67c526.87$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Golden Knights59c508.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.699550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa124…4891backed Wild21c480.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Wild28c468.7$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.647516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights68c439.71$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.718870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6d2…cfb1backed Golden Knights60c419.17$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Wild25c403.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.715820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights68c400$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1237254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Wild24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e59…3d75backed Wild35c371.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4aa…fa32backed Golden Knights67c350.75$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild37c334.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12354418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd74f…740ebacked Wild33c323.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab32…ae40backed Golden Knights67c322.39$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4aa…9026backed Wild30c310.34$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cf4…15ddbacked Golden Knights68c309.03$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.421838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33cc…66a1backed Wild34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Wild26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7734032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d6…3a8dbacked Wild35c294.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa03e…6068backed Golden Knights68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b93…028dbacked Wild33c272.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Golden Knights61c269.35$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3525358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd656…d127backed Golden Knights79c245.33$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Wild33c239.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Wild47c228.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…8483backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21cf…a38ebacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Wild32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Wild32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbe…fbe3backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Wild32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Wild32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf129…ed65backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0669…8717backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa444…c492backed Wild32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaef2…95adbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a7…b4c8backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e24…ab78backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644139%16 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Wild32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1379backed Wild32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.