NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb4f0644ea1ab81bafcec837938e115465e45973adcd5b2d625457c5d0aa73dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,345,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,516,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,345,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 703 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Timberwolves | 74c | 217,364$160,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,284.41 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 33c | 139,220$45,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,260.78 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Timberwolves | 32c | 124,733$39,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,818.18 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lakers | 68c | 113,336$77,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,568.82 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Timberwolves | 32c | 100,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,999.84 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 31c | 69,277$21,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,673.81 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Lakers | 50c | 68,396$34,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,412.08 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 67,866$35,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,379.46 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Lakers | 68c | 66,113$44,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,955.41 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 48,022$15,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,986.68 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 40c | 41,286$16,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,460.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lakers | 60c | 40,000$24,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,049.98 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 49c | 36,174$17,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,882.1 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 56c | 35,488$19,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,790.74 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Timberwolves | 77c | 29,039$22,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.19 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 45c | 28,931$13,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,048.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lakers | 40c | 28,382$11,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,410.09 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Timberwolves | 55c | 26,565$14,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,824.79 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lakers | 55c | 26,188$14,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,393.46 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Lakers | 45c | 24,344$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 55c | 23,134$12,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,714 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers | 67c | 22,561$15,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,215.9 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 68c | 22,454$15,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,268.9 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lakers | 56c | 21,776$12,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,243.64 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 55c | 20,993$11,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,444.54 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lakers | 69c | 20,590$14,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,155.23 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 47c | 18,855$8,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,772.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Lakers | 68c | 18,500$12,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,579.97 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 31c | 18,050$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,454.34 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Timberwolves | 39c | 17,056$6,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,439.12 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Lakers | 51c | 15,190$7,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,734.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Lakers | 39c | 13,020$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.45 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Lakers | 46c | 12,946$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Timberwolves | 32c | 12,600$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,568.07 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Lakers | 69c | 12,549$8,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,616.32 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Lakers | 16c | 11,406$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.65 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 10,380$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832.96 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Timberwolves | 33c | 10,364$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Lakers | 0c | 10,339$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 52c | 9,615$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.34 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Lakers | 68c | 9,360$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.79 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Timberwolves | 69c | 9,223$6,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.81 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Timberwolves | 33c | 9,115$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.26 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…38a0backed Timberwolves | 63c | 8,643$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 8,500$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Timberwolves | 70c | 8,478$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.48 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Lakers | 48c | 7,953$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.34 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Timberwolves | 33c | 7,125$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.82 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Lakers | 6c | 6,893$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 6,829$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.38 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 67c | 6,555$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.73 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 6,193$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.93 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 55c | 6,154$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.62 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Timberwolves | 32c | 6,042$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 67c | 5,868$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.78 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Lakers | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 41c | 5,000$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lakers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Lakers | 69c | 4,928$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.56 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,551$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.7 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Timberwolves | 60c | 4,480$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Lakers | 52c | 3,871$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 3,865$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.88 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…4348backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,838$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Lakers | 59c | 3,831$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.21 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lakers | 69c | 3,807$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.53 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lakers | 20c | 3,720$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.91 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers | 68c | 3,533$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 57c | 3,450$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.53 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Lakers | 46c | 3,278$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lakers | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Lakers | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Lakers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.95 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Timberwolves | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Timberwolves | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Lakers | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 32c | 2,925$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.12 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,755$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.07 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 1c | 2,687$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 48c | 2,613$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.79 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Lakers | 68c | 2,602$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.65 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,506$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Lakers | 53c | 2,480$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.06 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,429$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Lakers | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 53c | 2,270$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Lakers | 68c | 2,020$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Lakers | 1c | 2,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43e…0141backed Lakers | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Lakers | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Timberwolves | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Timberwolves | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Lakers | 43c | 1,995$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Lakers | 7c | 1,991$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,981$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.93 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.