Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9eb85bc54e4a52d8cf181fbb34015373a9f75b47d8778ba2e2733febc1f107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038d…d484backed No | 20c | 180,108$36,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,094.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 80c | 80,000$64,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,000 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 56c | 44,233$24,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,824.04 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 76c | 28,196$21,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,420.25 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549f…c945backed No | 62c | 26,460$16,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,054.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 19c | 25,968$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,938.24 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 18c | 13,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,630 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 75c | 12,563$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,387.18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 28c | 11,035$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.63 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 78c | 6,820$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.35 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 22c | 5,715$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.55 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 80c | 5,023$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 71c | 4,968$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.54 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed No | 78c | 4,863$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 76c | 4,178$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.78 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 21c | 3,797$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 20c | 3,777$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.73 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 77c | 3,264$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,608$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.94 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc0…6278backed Yes | 30c | 2,604$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 24c | 2,572$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.88 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 22c | 2,560$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.76 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Yes | 78c | 1,303$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 68c | 1,290$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 20c | 1,138$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.88 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 22c | 1,133$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.37 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,106$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.62 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 21c | 1,067$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.89 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 30c | 942.56$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 20c | 839.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.8 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 42c | 826.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 20c | 760.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…3863backed Yes | 75c | 661$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Yes | 79c | 633.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…20d8backed No | 78c | 626.59$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 32c | 618.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 74c | 575.89$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…a558backed Yes | 64c | 525.36$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 64c | 520.36$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 26c | 399.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 77c | 388.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 21c | 350$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 68c | 320.46$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 20c | 285.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 37c | 280$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…9788backed No | 26c | 269.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 80c | 250.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 77c | 228.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…6467backed No | 26c | 223.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 157.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 80c | 156.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked No | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…b88ebacked No | 67c | 149.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…48b3backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 38c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5133…294dbacked No | 19c | 127.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +282.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…6d49backed Yes | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked No | 76c | 124.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…0b2dbacked No | 21c | 123$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…e6e4backed Yes | 51c | 119.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 73c | 113.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…e68cbacked Yes | 65c | 107.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 80c | 105$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Yes | 79c | 87.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked Yes | 59c | 85.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 67c | 84.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…8fa6backed Yes | 75c | 83.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…926dbacked Yes | 76c | 81.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…1295backed Yes | 75c | 76.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 41c | 75.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f1…2593backed No | 68c | 72.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…8dcebacked No | 21c | 70.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…4e44backed Yes | 76c | 68.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked Yes | 76c | 67.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…4670backed Yes | 80c | 67.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…3f79backed Yes | 80c | 65.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…78f7backed Yes | 75c | 63.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-13?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Ipswich end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.