Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c6609701ea0105a3ea13127ce1fc37c39a7f9c4d675b674cba5a62392d9118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd92e…763dbacked Yes | 14c | 10,001$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…7a06backed Yes | 14c | 10,001$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 38c | 7,933$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 7,708$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 5,148$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.13 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 12c | 3,600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 2,797$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.5 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 2,734$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.16 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 2,006$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.31 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,845$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.32 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc0…6278backed Yes | 40c | 1,357$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 69c | 825.71$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.88 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 28c | 803.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.57 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 54c | 747.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Yes | 19c | 690.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 13c | 638.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 15c | 599.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.72 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 32c | 518.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 23c | 478.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.59 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 70c | 258.74$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 50c | 184.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Yes | 59c | 169.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 14c | 164.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…a558backed Yes | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…026abacked Yes | 35c | 151.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 13c | 147.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 25c | 133.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…b77ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 65c | 122.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 55c | 114.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 27c | 105.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…ec1bbacked Yes | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…9547backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 30c | 84.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 13c | 83.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…6747backed Yes | 56c | 83.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Yes | 63c | 47.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Yes | 72c | 39.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 67c | 29.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…e838backed Yes | 72c | 27.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…eaaebacked Yes | 72c | 26.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-13?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.