TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes49c11,000$5,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,349.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No51c10,813$5,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.225257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes7c10,571$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.431,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes7c10,173$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.4111454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No56c6,511$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.2538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No47c5,229$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.1979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes8c3,830$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes44c3,350$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes8c3,250$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27021445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes6c3,249$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9417745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes53c2,909$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.357341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No47c2,853$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes7c2,269$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8113857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes43c2,250$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9712650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc0…6278backed Yes52c1,626$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes8c1,280$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.588825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No52c1,248$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.0413547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked No47c985.22$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.162454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45e…64febacked Yes52c954.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No46c929$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.664963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3af…829dbacked Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes8c919.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1417447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes7c888$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.161127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No63c798.36$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.569241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No45c650$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No52c626$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes52c578.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked No65c557.83$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.064456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes43c465.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes44c400$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.27651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes52c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes56c334$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.068045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0342240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes32c301.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.655853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No48c291.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.675740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes31c269.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.366031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes8c249.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Yes51c244.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes42c235.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9429238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Yes9c225$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…49b2backed Yes52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7d2…95e0backed No63c203.24$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd754…6747backed Yes50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.453554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Yes32c185.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No55c175.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1514953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes42c158.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.382748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes30c150.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.515726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…b36dbacked No57c140.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-81.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes11c125$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb04…6deabacked Yes45c123.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes14c123.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-56.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Yes37c123.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdce…b9bdbacked Yes54c111.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed No58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick35cpaid+66.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No51c102.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.956051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227e…c85abacked No73c101.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7314342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4634251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f1…2593backed No69c72.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1022…a70dbacked No54c64.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a3…c35bbacked Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+71.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8f…d91fbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes46c49.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.557035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9d…7a6cbacked Yes54c48.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ff…93c3backed Yes53c45.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.19520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43f3…1712backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d43…37e9backed Yes53c35.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce1…a462backed Yes51c32.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500a…a800backed No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x475d…eaaebacked Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bda…8798backed No62c25.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No50c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0697…33d4backed Yes53c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe076…184cbacked Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.