NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2000d7caf2edfa76fd7ce5a2dad83aef998eaf0093940e7fe9f82ef3510135ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,759,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,888,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,759,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 33c | 187,181$61,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,054.23 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 11c | 141,930$16,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,129.96 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 31c | 125,976$39,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,086.53 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Clippers | 66c | 121,290$79,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,505.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Nuggets | 19c | 59,361$11,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,004.5 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 69c | 58,000$40,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,979.95 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Clippers | 70c | 47,808$33,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,342.31 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers | 69c | 46,447$32,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,398.56 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Clippers | 65c | 43,095$28,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,928.98 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Clippers | 71c | 32,489$22,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,501.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers | 69c | 30,822$21,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,646.95 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 78c | 29,514$22,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.12 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 38c | 29,070$10,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,951.78 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Clippers | 63c | 28,843$18,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530.03 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Clippers | 69c | 27,554$19,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,541.82 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Clippers | 64c | 24,228$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,727.81 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Clippers | 70c | 23,134$16,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 11c | 22,226$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.85 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Clippers | 70c | 21,383$14,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414.9 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nuggets | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Nuggets | 7c | 19,582$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.11 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 29c | 19,152$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,648.17 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 72c | 18,742$13,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.04 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 26c | 16,953$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.52 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 31c | 15,747$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.56 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Clippers | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Clippers | 71c | 14,900$10,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Clippers | 69c | 14,688$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.35 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Nuggets | 37c | 13,861$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Nuggets | 27c | 13,229$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 29c | 12,500$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.53 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clippers | 66c | 12,007$7,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.92 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 26c | 10,949$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 6c | 10,517$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.84 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Nuggets | 34c | 9,531$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.18 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Clippers | 69c | 9,515$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b3…2d65backed Nuggets | 32c | 9,430$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers | 70c | 9,059$6,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.22 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 18c | 8,843$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.14 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nuggets | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Nuggets | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…1106backed Nuggets | 28c | 7,207$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Nuggets | 36c | 7,000$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Nuggets | 32c | 6,633$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.38 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Clippers | 64c | 6,177$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.7 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Clippers | 71c | 6,054$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.86 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Clippers | 58c | 5,905$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.91 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Clippers | 73c | 5,586$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.83 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 29c | 5,568$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.73 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…4446backed Nuggets | 27c | 5,025$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Nuggets | 29c | 4,999$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.8 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers | 69c | 4,836$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.64 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Nuggets | 5c | 4,815$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Clippers | 69c | 4,700$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Nuggets | 35c | 4,673$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.66 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Clippers | 70c | 4,650$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.99 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,438$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.23 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nuggets | 31c | 4,374$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.62 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 67c | 4,295$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Nuggets | 38c | 4,181$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,050$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 33c | 4,039$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.16 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Nuggets | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Nuggets | 21c | 3,833$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.9 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 32c | 3,700$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Clippers | 66c | 3,700$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,600$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clippers | 70c | 3,276$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.23 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…3d40backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,187$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…7db5backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,178$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Nuggets | 28c | 3,130$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.35 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Clippers | 73c | 3,061$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.09 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Clippers | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 71c | 3,000$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Clippers | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Nuggets | 6c | 3,000$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Nuggets | 37c | 2,959$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.26 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Nuggets | 16c | 2,665$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.18 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 30c | 2,640$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.04 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nuggets | 20c | 2,608$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.95 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nuggets | 1c | 2,545$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 3c | 2,541$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 70c | 2,473$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.3 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…c64abacked Nuggets | 24c | 2,462$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nuggets | 12c | 2,339$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.45 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Clippers | 65c | 2,332$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 1c | 2,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nuggets | 28c | 2,234$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.15 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Nuggets | 8c | 2,181$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 2,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Nuggets | 32c | 2,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nuggets | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…0682backed Nuggets | 3c | 2,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 23c | 1,991$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.03 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nuggets | 3c | 1,945$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Nuggets | 2c | 1,807$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.