NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b18642e66d83693ad77247da2f1e50286a21c5a2745acb58cc61bdad2b9f925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Senators | 38c | 24,918$9,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,375.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Senators | 39c | 24,799$9,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,135.54 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 24,598$13,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,046.03 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 38c | 18,029$6,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175.12 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 15,171$9,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,406.16 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 12,260$7,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,356.23 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Senators | 40c | 11,734$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040.21 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Senators | 65c | 11,407$7,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.75 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 10,209$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.21 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 7,273$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.23 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 6,505$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.52 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 38c | 6,352$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.1 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 6,265$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 5,242$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.15 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 65c | 4,930$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 38c | 4,444$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…77d6backed Senators | 51c | 3,936$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 3,300$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.26 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Senators | 40c | 3,256$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.6 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 3,236$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 2,500$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 2,400$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.09 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Senators | 40c | 2,288$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.82 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Senators | 39c | 2,266$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.31 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Senators | 67c | 2,200$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.2 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,159$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Senators | 67c | 2,142$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.56 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 45c | 2,130$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.25 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 2,040$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 23c | 2,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,999$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.27 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,916$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…22bebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,870$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Senators | 39c | 1,727$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.79 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Senators | 39c | 1,635$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.78 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,533$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.72 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Senators | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Senators | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,381$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 44c | 1,356$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.73 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…9a84backed Senators | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,275$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.74 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,177$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.81 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Senators | 39c | 1,162$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.03 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Senators | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 999.89$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…f42cbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 921.27$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 899.98$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…88d6backed Senators | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 799.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 38c | 742.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.33 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 696.42$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.18 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 652.39$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.48 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 632.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 619.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Senators | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Maple Leafs | 13c | 600$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Senators | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 566.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 544.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.53 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Senators | 39c | 533$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.13 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 532$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.84 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked Senators | 41c | 497.89$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…fb0dbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 477.42$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 476.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.72 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 471.03$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.62 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 464.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…dc24backed Senators | 40c | 451.45$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked Maple Leafs | 5c | 412.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…8a10backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 400$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Senators | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 385.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…8793backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 385$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9646backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 374.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…cd8dbacked Senators | 39c | 334.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…6b5fbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Senators | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked Senators | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Senators | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 296.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 285$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Senators | 37c | 267.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 260.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 250.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Senators | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.