TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x038d…d484backed No34c100,000$34,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes66c39,399$26,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,358.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes77c14,664$11,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No28c13,476$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,758.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf85…ff54backed Yes67c5,715$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+469%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes72c5,008$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes72c4,902$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.44341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No16c4,483$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.6312243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes74c4,389$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.141050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No10c4,015$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.117566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No26c2,893$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.614235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No15c2,887$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.911618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No29c2,801$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.4533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No24c2,212$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.5627939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes73c1,961$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked No29c1,890$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes74c1,870$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.278456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes71c1,803$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Yes70c1,487$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…cd8cbacked No30c1,485$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes74c1,470$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8615376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc532…3b9dbacked Yes74c1,315$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb462…d158backed No27c1,296$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cad…b991backed Yes72c833.27$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked No28c799.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes72c780.2$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.464257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No23c688.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1628742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No26c599.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15614042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No26c419.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0810960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bb…0f5cbacked Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c0…0eecbacked Yes74c270.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d1…d284backed Yes71c267.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes74c246.03$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.978543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No37c224.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73af…9af8backed No31c222.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No32c219.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.263265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes73c219.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.181435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick62cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c170.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5417835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes71c170.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.423467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc458…b0e9backed No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d92…a53bbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes69c127.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.132272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c53…278abacked Yes73c124.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232f…a5afbacked Yes72c116.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes72c112.27$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbb…377abacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4480…1f18backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ca…6adfbacked Yes71c91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083d…18b0backed Yes72c89.42$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf360…6157backed Yes72c86.13$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes74c81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.062171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdeb3…5e73backed Yes71c76.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.31366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No28c76.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3315846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f87…7fddbacked Yes73c72.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da9…5257backed No29c72.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4420655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc43b…784dbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…fc20backed Yes74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0687…fa37backed Yes72c50.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…3948backed Yes73c50.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No26c49.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x799b…42aebacked Yes73c39.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53dd…2a64backed Yes73c29.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b25…673ebacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes73c27.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.478743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3660…8c06backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e7…111dbacked Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d4…ae49backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes73c17.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.683551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…2a30backed Yes72c16.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe6…e9b8backed Yes73c15.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.