Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers win on 2025-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd8db40d5220ae12b7790f78fc38e653b0dd82f0d328f74f04784ecc5e723ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 8c | 5,734$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.43 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,562$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 10c | 1,008$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720d…734dbacked Yes | 11c | 406.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 8c | 345.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 8c | 333.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 9c | 325.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 9c | 289.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…12d0backed Yes | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…aad9backed Yes | 12c | 236.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 10c | 204.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 8c | 163.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…dbbcbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 9c | 111.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked Yes | 11c | 100.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…da3ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…294abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…5897backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers win on 2025-04-17?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Rangers end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.