NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6016695849ce3595a29da5dd4f1bd10638bb0a024c08fb1eeb8aabd0b85d1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 38c | 50,102$18,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,248.4 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flames | 71c | 34,399$24,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,822.34 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Kings | 63c | 31,190$19,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,582.51 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Kings | 0c | 20,141$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 52c | 19,674$10,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,350.07 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Kings | 62c | 14,306$8,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.04 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kings | 63c | 13,332$8,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.16 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Kings | 62c | 12,969$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Kings | 50c | 9,213$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Kings | 62c | 7,934$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…cabbbacked Flames | 42c | 6,893$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 64c | 6,437$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.9 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Flames | 55c | 5,589$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.69 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Flames | 47c | 5,179$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.22 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Flames | 40c | 5,026$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Flames | 37c | 4,983$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.06 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…da9abacked Flames | 44c | 4,911$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 41c | 4,444$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.91 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Kings | 45c | 4,442$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.27 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Kings | 53c | 4,376$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66d…1c6bbacked Kings | 58c | 4,318$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 37c | 4,302$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.13 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Kings | 60c | 4,145$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Flames | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.96 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Flames | 38c | 3,900$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…f41cbacked Flames | 42c | 3,775$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Kings | 35c | 3,693$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Kings | 38c | 3,483$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.08 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00d…610dbacked Kings | 58c | 3,182$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…090fbacked Kings | 58c | 3,167$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Kings | 65c | 3,000$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.6 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Kings | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings | 67c | 2,972$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Kings | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Flames | 37c | 2,157$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 39c | 2,066$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.5 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Kings | 59c | 2,022$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Flames | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.79 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings | 63c | 1,748$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 40c | 1,642$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.17 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4fddbacked Flames | 38c | 1,588$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Kings | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 50c | 1,200$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.62 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kings | 59c | 1,155$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.7 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Kings | 59c | 1,098$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.82 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Kings | 64c | 997.16$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.18 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Flames | 31c | 997.12$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.01 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Kings | 64c | 900$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…d541backed Kings | 55c | 899.78$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings | 36c | 641.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Kings | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Kings | 60c | 593.1$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 36c | 565.16$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.03 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Flames | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Kings | 60c | 505$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kings | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Flames | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Flames | 39c | 427.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Flames | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Kings | 41c | 397.56$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Kings | 45c | 382.76$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 41c | 370$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…4843backed Flames | 37c | 364.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kings | 40c | 334.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.61 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Kings | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Flames | 40c | 329.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 34c | 324.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 40c | 302.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Kings | 64c | 300.88$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 33c | 283.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Flames | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 62c | 249.76$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Flames | 40c | 249.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 51c | 238$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 62c | 237.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…af0ebacked Kings | 63c | 235.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Flames | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…95adbacked Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…ab78backed Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…7ec6backed Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…0559backed Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…52efbacked Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…2c9dbacked Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…d317backed Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…cff7backed Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…0f16backed Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…599bbacked Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…362cbacked Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…8d13backed Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…514bbacked Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…6a44backed Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…5880backed Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…a230backed Kings | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…c062backed Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.