TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$686,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$692,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No41c87,454$36,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,231.3312536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed Yes58c86,206$49,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No42c86,074$35,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,335.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No40c50,184$20,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,890.246058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No43c44,050$18,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,108.571258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Yes56c31,500$17,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,640742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Yes57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-88.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No41c27,738$11,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,287.7217853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes60c25,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No48c23,046$11,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,900.6539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9e…bde4backed No42c20,600$8,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,047.975100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+136.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed No66c19,668$13,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.761747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No42c19,500$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,31010850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes59c16,949$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccbe…1bbebacked Yes59c16,914$9,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,979.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,849.7614953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes26c14,806$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.1436851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No56c13,793$7,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,017.3430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes60c11,967$7,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,160.538040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No39c10,670$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,533.152755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes60c10,500$6,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2851952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes61c10,053$6,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,131.481931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9001030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9005352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2e…4d09backed Yes60c9,180$5,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,508450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+100.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes62c8,504$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,269.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Yes52c8,411$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+227.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No44c8,383$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,668.9512359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No41c7,165$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,213.420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes62c6,510$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.131741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff6…3f44backed No40c6,009$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8e…15d8backed No40c6,006$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.911747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+306.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf719…987abacked Yes60c5,804$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa088…d438backed Yes54c5,559$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes61c5,522$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.298345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes62c5,485$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3975731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3495…dca1backed Yes59c5,140$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No40c4,900$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.931241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes59c4,800$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.9810845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes52c4,260$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2004544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6bc…f729backed Yes59c4,072$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No55c3,833$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.6910736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes59c3,800$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2458740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x279a…c95fbacked Yes59c3,729$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes36c3,715$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34910931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No39c3,700$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.3529136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3dc…52afbacked Yes59c3,600$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes61c3,522$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.611723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid+186.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Yes60c3,443$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x801e…778ebacked Yes59c3,014$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.969643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c2…8775backed Yes60c2,610$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes40c2,600$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.9925450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No39c2,600$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.928151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42513548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes58c2,480$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4352030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes60c2,305$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes52c2,255$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd7…cd86backed No41c2,200$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes55c2,183$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes49c2,137$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.7215250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes59c2,119$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed No44c2,109$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No41c2,106$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.8221037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No39c2,048$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.2544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Yes54c1,950$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.38944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Yes35c1,946$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.343043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No42c1,937$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.917658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No41c1,933$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.4715442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed Yes59c1,812$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked No64c1,721$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick32cpaid+560.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No60c1,702$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.2517466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes58c1,624$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c1,600$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.9918160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes61c1,592$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9667055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No62c1,577$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.7412147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No68c1,573$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.420462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Yes47c1,538$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.742944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Yes21c1,500$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe908…c1fdbacked Yes59c1,437$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Yes55c1,374$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes59c1,366$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.9411245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes58c1,347$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78120667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes49c1,325$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.667041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No39c1,300$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.9711649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Yes40c1,257$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes59c1,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0434…4526backed Yes60c1,158$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes60c1,083$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010143.6%44 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Yes60c1,078$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.091770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.