NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8120f15ced7d8112512005d698483f49dba3f6d349bd91bc90a9e5f7b20c2cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pacers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,272,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,384,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,272,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a37…90fdbacked Bucks | 66c | 134,000$88,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…ddacbacked Pacers | 34c | 132,182$44,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,941.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 34c | 126,471$42,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,817.13 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Bucks | 66c | 120,000$79,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,820.21 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bucks | 65c | 70,574$46,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,475.38 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Pacers | 20c | 58,997$11,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,859.79 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Bucks | 40c | 52,631$21,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,478.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 34c | 50,762$17,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,143.81 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Pacers | 35c | 50,000$17,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,644.89 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 62c | 42,332$26,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,906.21 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 66c | 40,800$27,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,776.58 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers | 42c | 39,343$16,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,459.98 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Bucks | 66c | 37,056$24,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,598.92 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 53c | 30,000$15,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,002.91 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 56c | 24,240$13,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,624.54 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 23c | 21,618$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,938.62 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Pacers | 38c | 21,172$7,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,990.66 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Pacers | 0c | 19,386$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bucks | 69c | 14,439$10,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.1 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks | 66c | 12,002$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.69 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 67c | 10,786$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.17 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bucks | 31c | 10,774$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 56c | 10,046$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.39 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Pacers | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Pacers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…a759backed Bucks | 66c | 9,998$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706f…a645backed Pacers | 34c | 9,993$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774a…98f2backed Pacers | 34c | 9,993$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…53b1backed Bucks | 66c | 9,990$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +198.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pacers | 53c | 9,639$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.34 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Bucks | 66c | 8,685$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pacers | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bucks | 66c | 6,099$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.17 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…a806backed Pacers | 12c | 6,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Bucks | 60c | 5,635$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Bucks | 64c | 5,172$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.09 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Pacers | 34c | 4,800$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 35c | 4,797$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.85 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks | 62c | 4,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 34c | 4,498$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.44 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers | 1c | 4,028$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 67c | 3,840$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers | 36c | 3,397$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.91 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Pacers | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bucks | 66c | 2,900$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.99 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pacers | 21c | 2,895$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 49c | 2,646$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.86 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Pacers | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Bucks | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Pacers | 34c | 2,477$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Bucks | 34c | 2,477$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers | 3c | 2,421$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pacers | 35c | 2,389$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 42c | 2,290$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers | 49c | 2,134$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.78 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pacers | 25c | 2,011$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.55 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Pacers | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 66c | 1,997$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.63 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Bucks | 62c | 1,948$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.39 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Pacers | 29c | 1,850$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.25 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pacers | 7c | 1,793$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Pacers | 1c | 1,630$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pacers | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 41c | 1,580$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Bucks | 66c | 1,514$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…b991backed Pacers | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Bucks | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Bucks | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 66c | 1,496$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.72 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Bucks | 66c | 1,481$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pacers | 33c | 1,420$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.55 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 1c | 1,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 36c | 1,375$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Pacers | 34c | 1,309$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.97 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Pacers | 33c | 1,273$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Pacers | 31c | 1,255$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.21 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pacers | 1c | 1,237$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bucks | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Pacers | 4c | 1,141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bucks | 34c | 1,121$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.13 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Bucks | 75c | 1,108$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 59c | 1,076$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 66c | 1,074$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.67 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bucks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Bucks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…83efbacked Pacers | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…cdcebacked Pacers | 34c | 900$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Bucks | 67c | 893.72$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Pacers | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…7008backed Pacers | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Pacers | 12c | 831.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pacers | 35c | 828.57$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.