TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Islanders, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29bf…25b0backed Flyers75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Islanders25c5,730$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.5258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Islanders48c5,406$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.5136242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Islanders25c4,338$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.159863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Islanders57c3,484$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.654955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Flyers50c3,368$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.7724546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b30…8c55backed Islanders5c3,002$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers50c2,556$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.2430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers46c2,386$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.423,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers49c2,011$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.781,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Islanders47c2,005$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.0110546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Flyers50c1,846$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.8513845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Islanders57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Flyers53c1,722$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.4527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470f…400fbacked Islanders50c1,721$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ab…e269backed Flyers50c1,721$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers49c1,472$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.761,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Islanders52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6508345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers24c1,209$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.8392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flyers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Islanders55c1,000$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.55534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Flyers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Islanders52c968.16$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers50c894.65$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.6484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Islanders51c862.75$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Flyers56c831.23$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.823271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4634…9222backed Islanders51c816$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7a…ef68backed Flyers49c816$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Islanders53c759.26$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Flyers51c735.29$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.293148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Islanders51c734.64$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3757634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders49c649.89$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Islanders50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Flyers55c574.15$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.879750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc458…b0e9backed Islanders51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders43c488.65$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.551,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers50c453$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Islanders14c449.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2329319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20037738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4b…8ce9backed Islanders50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…c6c3backed Islanders50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Islanders50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3776…7b88backed Islanders50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc6…a653backed Flyers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1483…2287backed Flyers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80b4…a95bbacked Flyers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Flyers47c355.09$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.451855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Flyers49c333$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8350857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Flyers30c323$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.19550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5945…98b0backed Islanders50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Flyers53c302.86$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.345470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbd7…1778backed Flyers76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf3…8bd3backed Flyers50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+100.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Islanders52c230.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5228…fb0dbacked Flyers51c225.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.491050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Flyers45c223.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7611354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Flyers51c217.02$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.342759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders46c212.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7605…4ec0backed Flyers51c203.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf587…222bbacked Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Flyers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9f…88d6backed Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+75%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa8c…b66ebacked Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Islanders51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9711…59a2backed Flyers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Flyers80c195.27$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.055858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d0a…63d4backed Flyers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9710…f3e1backed Islanders51c190.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…93fdbacked Islanders52c179$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.081450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b6…e624backed Flyers48c179$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.081050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…90c1backed Islanders50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62b1…dd65backed Flyers50c178$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0f…5f89backed Flyers51c174.51$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.511030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4cb…9c85backed Flyers48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c7…5dd7backed Islanders52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers47c167.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.711,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Flyers46c167.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8728440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1462…51efbacked Islanders51c166$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.661338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…d3f1backed Flyers49c166$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc471…72a3backed Flyers50c164$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Islanders17c146.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.337644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Islanders50c143.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.948139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7039…abfcbacked Flyers51c140.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe8…5832backed Islanders50c138.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x860b…a80fbacked Flyers73c137.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.082564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd907…efa8backed Islanders51c135$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7383…9194backed Flyers49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.851384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+81.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Flyers47c131.74$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd006…d42ebacked Islanders50c131.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…5391backed Flyers51c130.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd14…4486backed Flyers49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3cb…13a9backed Islanders51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Flyers33c118.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.85145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1718…6d49backed Flyers29c118$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+107.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…af58backed Flyers50c114$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa405…ed85backed Islanders50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…422fbacked Flyers50c114$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.