NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd5cf97d626562f29387c3a60e0fb636cf0a72286606a7c782c7da0a6e83947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Senators, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Senators | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.98 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 30,196$18,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,678.85 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 35c | 29,623$10,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,479.16 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 23,294$14,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720.23 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 12,199$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.14 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Senators | 41c | 10,723$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.31 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 9,900$5,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 9,276$5,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.53 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 7,408$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.1 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 33c | 7,034$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.9 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 7,031$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.87 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 5,325$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.38 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Senators | 40c | 3,980$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Senators | 3c | 3,900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 40c | 3,363$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.27 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 75c | 2,985$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.21 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,568$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 33c | 2,139$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.05 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Senators | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Senators | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.97 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Senators | 40c | 1,965$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,716$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 19c | 1,588$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,555$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.55 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Senators | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,424$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Senators | 2c | 1,387$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,289$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 2c | 1,211$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,008$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.06 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 945.47$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.05 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…d47ebacked Senators | 5c | 881.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Senators | 7c | 823$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Senators | 38c | 702$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 39c | 686.89$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.37 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 594.74$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Senators | 33c | 526.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Senators | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Senators | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…0238backed Senators | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Senators | 39c | 499.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 484.35$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 449.87$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 443.5$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Senators | 39c | 433.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Senators | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Senators | 38c | 383.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Senators | 38c | 373.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…75f4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 354.91$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Senators | 39c | 347$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Senators | 9c | 332.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Senators | 15c | 332.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…7479backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 285.31$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Senators | 26c | 265.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Senators | 40c | 265$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Senators | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 250.82$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Senators | 15c | 248.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Senators | 26c | 208.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…4d20backed Senators | 39c | 201$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…03b8backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 201$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Senators | 13c | 174.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…a546backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 162.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 154.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…44cfbacked Senators | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…be58backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 141$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…ee5dbacked Senators | 39c | 141$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Senators | 39c | 139.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…5b10backed Senators | 41c | 132.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…c579backed Senators | 41c | 132.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…6170backed Senators | 41c | 128.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a79…8a67backed Senators | 41c | 127.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Senators | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7f…e57dbacked Senators | 41c | 120.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…87fdbacked Senators | 41c | 116.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 115.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4504backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 113.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…e48dbacked Senators | 41c | 112.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Senators | 31c | 112.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Senators | 40c | 100.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 100.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…cc6fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 100.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.