NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x871f61a1f311122d375173d7d206a0722c3fb83828e16b9c8b637a0a283dab4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 47,611$13,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,164.95 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Senators | 72c | 20,000$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 72c | 9,860$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.19 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Blackhawks | 29c | 6,859$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.11 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Blackhawks | 33c | 5,279$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.05 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 4,816$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.91 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 71c | 4,505$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.31 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 71c | 4,154$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.57 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Senators | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Senators | 70c | 3,350$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Senators | 71c | 3,037$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.65 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Senators | 56c | 2,786$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Blackhawks | 39c | 2,420$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.62 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 71c | 2,173$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.4 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Senators | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Senators | 72c | 1,750$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Senators | 62c | 1,610$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,525$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Senators | 72c | 1,525$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Blackhawks | 29c | 1,511$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Senators | 55c | 1,503$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.52 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Blackhawks | 28c | 1,497$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 53c | 1,490$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.62 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed Senators | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Senators | 65c | 1,263$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.78 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blackhawks | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.94 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…a5afbacked Senators | 72c | 1,039$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Senators | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Senators | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Senators | 60c | 983.34$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blackhawks | 40c | 952.25$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.35 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 49c | 833.58$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Blackhawks | 45c | 813.36$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.35 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators | 70c | 812$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 71c | 794.39$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.67 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Senators | 73c | 785.9$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.65 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Senators | 71c | 749.3$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Blackhawks | 28c | 705.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.24 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Senators | 71c | 683.79$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.49 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Senators | 71c | 654.93$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 607.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x539a…5c9ebacked Blackhawks | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 61c | 460$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.31 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…65b2backed Senators | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Senators | 51c | 372.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Senators | 71c | 362$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Senators | 71c | 350$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Blackhawks | 55c | 320.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Senators | 72c | 311.13$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Senators | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Senators | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks | 36c | 200.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Senators | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…6b62backed Blackhawks | 28c | 176.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Senators | 71c | 169.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Senators | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Blackhawks | 32c | 157.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Senators | 70c | 155$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…9297backed Blackhawks | 28c | 139.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9e6dbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 133.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…a546backed Blackhawks | 44c | 129.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Blackhawks | 48c | 128.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3604…4ca5backed Senators | 73c | 123.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blackhawks | 29c | 122.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…3558backed Blackhawks | 30c | 111.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Blackhawks | 45c | 111.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 60c | 110.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b01backed Senators | 71c | 107.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Blackhawks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…ebc2backed Senators | 72c | 102.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks | 30c | 102.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Senators | 70c | 102$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…9ad8backed Blackhawks | 29c | 101$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…bfd8backed Senators | 71c | 101$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…78a4backed Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…c52bbacked Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…ef4abacked Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…a1f4backed Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…95debacked Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5ddebacked Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…644bbacked Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…ee52backed Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc473…811cbacked Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…4e11backed Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Blackhawks | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…034bbacked Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…04c7backed Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7383…9194backed Blackhawks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…137fbacked Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…7916backed Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.